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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
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@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Jin Russell‏ @DrJinRussell 29 Sep 2020

      The @nzherald have just published a COVID-19 op-ed written by me and Dr Veronica Playle, on how "Plan B" is totally flawed, inequitable, and totally unworkable for our unique NZ situation. https://www.nzherald.co.nz/opinion/news/article.cfm?c_id=466&objectid=12369227 … For those who love details, here's a THREAD with references /1

      34 replies 231 retweets 516 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Jin Russell‏ @DrJinRussell 29 Sep 2020

      First, why did we write this? Unfortunately, it is very likely that we will have to face-off with COVID-19 again in NZ (although I hope this is a long way away). When alert levels rise again, there will be dissenters. Plan B will be back in the news. We can't let that happen /2

      2 replies 6 retweets 56 likes
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    3. Jin Russell‏ @DrJinRussell 29 Sep 2020

      We are 6 months into the pandemic. Yet Plan B is still a bare bones 10-point plan, hopelessly lacking in detail. We couldn't find any modelling on the Plan B website to show how it will impact our communities and hospitals. Yet they receive disproportionate news coverage /3

      1 reply 9 retweets 51 likes
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    4. Jin Russell‏ @DrJinRussell 29 Sep 2020

      While their own Plan B "plan" hasn't received nearly as much criticism as they've dished out on the (expert-advised) government strategy. Being sticklers for detail, Ronnie and I took a look. There are at least 5 key flaws with Plan B. Let me explain: /4

      1 reply 7 retweets 48 likes
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    5. Jin Russell‏ @DrJinRussell 29 Sep 2020

      Plan B consistently tries to de-emphasise how severe COVID-19 can be for certain groups. In this painful interview with @jacktame, Dr Simon Thornley cites a single meta-analysis of the IFR by epidemiologist John Ioannides. But this isn't the only IFR /5 https://www.tvnz.co.nz/shows/q-and-a/clips/plan-b-epidemiologist-claims-the-science-shows-this-virus-isn-t-as-serious-as-first-thought …

      3 replies 5 retweets 44 likes
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    6. Jin Russell‏ @DrJinRussell 29 Sep 2020

      An IFR is the infection fatality rate (or proportion); the proportion of COVID-19 deaths from all those infected. The WHO's IFR estimate is considerably higher (0.5 - 1.0), as is this meta-analysis by @GidMK & Merone (0.53 to 0.82) /6https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.03.20089854v4.full.pdf+html …

      3 replies 5 retweets 43 likes
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      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Sep 2020
      Replying to @DrJinRussell

      Health Nerd Retweeted Health Nerd

      Now a published paperhttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1311128479170138113?s=19 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Health NerdVerified account @GidMK
      Some pretty exciting news: @LeaMerone and my paper on COVID-19 IFR has been accepted at the IJID and you can now find the pre-proof version here: https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1201971220321809 …
      8:21 PM - 29 Sep 2020
      • 1 Retweet
      • 6 Likes
      • B Mo Issa Jon Valentine Sam Jin Russell
      0 replies 1 retweet 6 likes

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