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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Sep 2020
      Replying to @saarwilf @Rootclaim

      There are literally dozens of websites that look exactly the same for HCQ. I'm not saying that the two treatments are the same - I'm saying a lack of evidence doesn't allow for good decision-making no matter how many inconclusive studies you link to

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    2. Saar Wilf‏ @saarwilf 29 Sep 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @Rootclaim

      Yes, the look of the website is not the differentiator. You need to evaluate the actual studies. I understand if you don’t have the time for it, but please don’t dismiss what you haven’t studied. Especially when thousands of lives are at stake.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Sep 2020
      Replying to @saarwilf @Rootclaim

      I don't think you understand my point. A Github repository is fine, but having lots of inconclusive research doesn't add up to a definitive answer, it leaves you with the same question just using more words

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    4. Saar Wilf‏ @saarwilf 29 Sep 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @Rootclaim

      That is highly inaccurate. Multiple weak indications can definitely result in a strong conclusion if they each assess different aspects of the question, are not filtered, and come from independent sources.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Sep 2020
      Replying to @saarwilf @Rootclaim

      If you run dozens of studies that are all flawed, most of them in the same ways, then you haven't gotten any closer to an answer to your original question. It's a pretty foundational fact of research

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. Saar Wilf‏ @saarwilf 29 Sep 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @Rootclaim

      If the flaws are uncorrelated then the probability that all the results are due to flaws approach zero as you add studies.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Sep 2020
      Replying to @saarwilf @Rootclaim

      That's simply not true, and a misunderstanding of how scientific evidence works. I'd suggest reading the Cochrane handbook to get a better handle on evidence appraisal (it is, unfortunately, very dense)

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Saar Wilf‏ @saarwilf 29 Sep 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @Rootclaim

      I guess the point where someone on the Internet tries to educate me about my area of expertise is where I bow out, and offer you to back your confidence with actions: https://blog.rootclaim.com/treating-covid-19-with-vitamin-d-100000-challenge/ … Good night sir.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Sep 2020
      Replying to @saarwilf @Rootclaim

      Lol. Even if I had $100,000 to throw away, it seems like a garish publicity stunt to me. If you want to actually do some good, put the money towards a study on Vitamin D and I'll happily throw in my consulting services for free

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Saar Wilf‏ @saarwilf 29 Sep 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @Rootclaim

      These are not mutually exclusive. I'm also funding a clinical trial.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Sep 2020
      Replying to @saarwilf @Rootclaim

      That's great! Probably a much more useful intervention than a bet that won't be resolved until it doesn't really matter anyway (and would probably just result in a legal battle due to the vague wording)

      4:43 PM - 29 Sep 2020
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Saar Wilf‏ @saarwilf 29 Sep 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @Rootclaim

          The purpose of the bet is not to make a profit but to accelerate rational discussion. People become much more critical when they risk something.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Sep 2020
          Replying to @saarwilf @Rootclaim

          Nah, it's just a pointless dichotomization. I wouldn't take the bet because the evidence ISN'T THERE - I'm not saying vit D is useless, but that we have no idea if it works or not. Also, most of the experts are (like me) unable to easily proffer $100,000 in assets for silly bets

          2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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