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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Rupert Beale‏Verified account @bealelab 29 Sep 2020
      Replying to @Bernp1953P @InCytometry and

      That study didn't show that, it used sensitive T cell test and relatively insensitive antibody test(s) – and not at a point where you'd expect everyone to have seroconverted.

      2 replies 1 retweet 3 likes
    2. Curious Sceptic  ✍️‏ @Bernp1953P 29 Sep 2020
      Replying to @bealelab @InCytometry and

      Are you confident about IFR 1% ?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. john mcclean‏ @johnmcclean_ie 29 Sep 2020
      Replying to @Bernp1953P @bealelab and

      FWIW I'm not claiming an IFR of 1%, just that it is a better fit for Spring than 0.3%. This is one of the best papers on IFRs by @GidMK and @BillHanage. The 0.3% came from a blog entry / article from CEBM on IFRs falling overtime & is not age adjustedhttps://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v5 …

      3 replies 3 retweets 3 likes
    4. Ивáн Инград‏ @ivaningrad 29 Sep 2020
      Replying to @johnmcclean_ie @Bernp1953P and

      Ивáн Инград Retweeted Ивáн Инград

      I have seen 0'3% at more places than just one article from CEBM. Like those 6 papers:https://twitter.com/ivaningrad/status/1302036434891804672?s=20 …

      Ивáн Инград added,

      Ивáн Инград @ivaningrad
      Replying to @ivaningrad @kikollan and 4 others
      https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.31.20118554v4 … https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2026116 … https://www.thelancet.com/journals/laninf/article/PIIS1473-3099(20)30584-3/fulltext … https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.04.20090076v2 … https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.13.20101253v3 … https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.26.20079244v1 …
      4 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Gregory Travis‏ @greg_travis 29 Sep 2020
      Replying to @ivaningrad @johnmcclean_ie and

      How can the IFR be 0.3% if the population fatality rate is 0.3%?

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    6. Ивáн Инград‏ @ivaningrad 29 Sep 2020
      Replying to @greg_travis @johnmcclean_ie and

      Can you read the papers before? I'm just showing those studies, because is not true IFR 0'3% is told just by ONE article from CEBM, there you have several studies saying the same in some different places. In how many places in the world PFR is 0'3%?

      3 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Sep 2020
      Replying to @ivaningrad @greg_travis and

      Have you read them? The Swiss papers both found an IFR of 0.6%+. The review (which has numerous flaws) found IFRs mostly above 0.5% for Europe. Even the very small German study found 0.36%

      2 replies 1 retweet 4 likes
    8. Ивáн Инград‏ @ivaningrad 29 Sep 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @greg_travis and

      The Swiss paper also say:pic.twitter.com/wsC1LrztDg

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Sep 2020
      Replying to @ivaningrad @greg_travis and

      Yes, but it's rather unlikely that this would more than halve the IFR even if true. An IFR of 0.3% for Europe in spring is inconsistent with evidence from Sweden, Switzerland, Hungary, CZR, Belgium, UK/England, Italy, France, Finland, Ireland, Spain, Lithuania, etc

      2 replies 1 retweet 2 likes
    10. Ивáн Инград‏ @ivaningrad 29 Sep 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @greg_travis and

      Not true, I sent before those reports from Spain, 27.000 dead in nursing homes. This has been denounced and is being investigated, all this people didn't die by Covid, so, yes, 27.000 can change a lot the IFR.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Sep 2020
      Replying to @ivaningrad

      I suggest you read the systematic reviews I linked to in this thread. It is indeed true - most European countries had a much higher IFR than 0.3%

      4:32 PM - 29 Sep 2020
      • 1 Like
      • Jonathan2106
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like

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