Exhibit C) the Boston area. Where was hardest hit in the spring? The relatively poor northern suburbs. Surely these *must* now be on the downturn, there are even antibodies to suggest many were infected https://www.bostonglobe.com/2020/04/17/business/nearly-third-200-blood-samples-taken-chelsea-show-exposure-coronavirus/ … 10/n
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Nope. Even is Chelsea is no longer the highest risk in the state it's because others have caught up - transmission continues there. No
https://www.boston.com/news/coronavirus/2020/09/24/15-high-risk-communities-september-24-2020 … 11/n1 reply 2 retweets 44 likesShow this thread -
So I come to NYC. Which has a quite literally eye watering 2500+ deaths/million so far. It is also enacting reasonably strong interventions still, even if we've moved on from the disaster of the spring. Infections must be dropping of their own accord. They must be. Right? 12/n
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Er wrong. It's low but not going down of its own accord. No
. That steady rate is a tribute to sacrifices made by literally millions to limit transmission (data from https://www1.nyc.gov/site/doh/covid/covid-19-data.page …) 13/npic.twitter.com/S6yCS2nQIT
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Replying to @BillHanage
Even more worrying, perhaps, is the rising number of cases in the orthodox Jewish communities that we all thought might be one of the few places in the U.S. that ~had~ reached a threshold sufficient for population immunityhttps://www.nytimes.com/2020/09/22/nyregion/coronavirus-Orthodox-Jewish-neighborhoods.html …
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Replying to @ottartwain @BillHanage
I think you have missed the point of the thread
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Replying to @ottartwain @BillHanage
No. The point of the thread is that the claims of population immunity are not consistent with the data at hand
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That is incorrect, and largely a straw man argument that has little to do with the point of the thread
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