German hospitals were never under strain (unlike in the UK). Whilst I cannot be certain, incorporating both anecdotal and statistical data (not age stratified) from UK suggests we are better at managing Covid. And that's not surprising: it's true for most diseases.
I would be entirely unsurprised if fewer people were dying, and similarly unsurprised if this was not true. There are good reasons to think that it could happen, and good reasons to think it won't
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I guess I would ask: what would convince you that the IFR is improving? Infections are inferred, so the IFR is always an indirect measure.
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The only way to be sure is a good longitudinal seroprevalence sample which is something I'm looking at now
End of conversation
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