For context, death rates due to COVID-19 by age: 20 years: 1 in 20,000 40 years: 1 in 1,400 60 years: 1 in 135 70 years: 1 in 40 80+ years: 1 in 7https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1309239741515067392 …
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Replying to @GeorgeCockroft
They are from our metaregression and consistent with the CDCs updated figures
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Replying to @GeorgeCockroft
Actually, they don't - the only difference is that I've given an AGE whereas they have AGE BANDS. These results are in fact basically the same as the numbers abovepic.twitter.com/NzymMTViCE
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Replying to @GeorgeCockroft
Yes precisely. I don't think the IFRs generally are very accurate for children under the age of 10 (they are rarely sampled well/at all in serosurveys) so I'm quite suspicious of age brackets including 0-10 years
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Age brackets are also a tad misleading, because depending on how you structure them the results can be wildly different, because the risk increases exponentially. For example, 30-40 is 0.08%, 35-45 is 0.14%, which look very different!
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