These death rates are drawn from our study (below) but they are also very consistent with the CDCs revised numbers that have been going viral recently, just presented sightly differentlyhttps://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v4 …
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Also, these are infection-fatality rates, so the death rate including mild/asymptomatic infections that are never tested
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They are from our metaregression and consistent with the CDCs updated figures
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Probability of dying from any cause over a month: 20-year-olds: 1 in 10,500 40-year-olds: 1 in 5000 60-year-olds: 1 in 1000 70-year-olds: 1 in 500 80-year-olds: 1 in 200
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Mortality is only one measure of harm , long term morbidity is probably more relevant and mortality statistics aren’t that relevant till we’ve had a full season of a virus that is likely to have significant seasonality wrt mortality , hospitalisations , severity etc
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It got into the VA on Hawaii Island in the last month. Had about 100 residents prior to the outbreak...70 test positive, 26 deaths so far and 23 recovered.
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And in each age bracket without pre-existing illness/comorbidities considered as prominent risk factors for COVID19? Not an intentionally facetious question, genuinely would be nice to know, not underplaying.
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1/3 of UK adult population is obese. Being obese is a "pre-existing condition" aka "co-morbidity". Another 1/3 is "just" overweight, which is borderline. Then plenty of healthy weight people have asthma, take blood pressure meds etc. So "underlying condition" = majority of adults
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