With a specificity of 99.95% then you would expect all of the summer ONS 'cases' to be false positive. Either that or you assume 100% specificity with R-value rock steady at 1.0000. Here is evidence so far that summer COVID was minimal -https://logicinthetimeofcovid.com/2020/09/07/waiting-for-zero/ …
This is test specificity, not population prevalence. Applying the test specificity to a different prevalence is of course another point, but that's not what we were discussing
-
-
I am saying the specificity will change based on who you select for testing. This is biology.
-
Sorry, are you saying that the acute patient sample from Phase I/II (who have a much higher chance of COVID-19 infection than the ONS random sample) would lower the test specificity substantially?
- Show replies
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.
