Start with the projected death rate of missed and delayed breast and bowel cancers over a 3 month lockdown period. The cumulative health Morbidity and mortality from lockdown would dwarf the Covid losses across the board.
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That seems extremely unlikely to be true. For one thing, the Aus cancer notifications don't appear to be dramatically different due to lockdowns. For another, the counterfactual is important e.g. how much cancer screening was NYC doing at the height of its pandemic
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How much are these metrics capturing? The stuff I've seen in the Aus context it seems to be pretty limited, and mostly things for which existing stats are available. It was designed for a specific and limited use. To apply society wide seems way beyond its original scope.
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