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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 20 Sep 2020

      Lots of people have asked the question: why is COVID-19 more fatal in one place than another? Our paper largely answers this question - it is mostly explained by age! https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v4 …pic.twitter.com/BmlUYUEMp1

      20 replies 93 retweets 198 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Centrist  🤝Madness‏ @CentristMadness 20 Sep 2020
      Replying to @GidMK

      Africa?

      3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 20 Sep 2020
      Replying to @CentristMadness

      We limited our analysis to seroprevalence studies conducted in OECD countries, but as far as I've seen this does explain a lot of the low death rate in Africa (although that's also a more complex question)

      3:06 PM - 20 Sep 2020
      • 1 Retweet
      • 4 Likes
      • FVM Tom Andrews💙 Guffy Fully Pfizzy Kitty Skatiq
      1 reply 1 retweet 4 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Centrist  🤝Madness‏ @CentristMadness 20 Sep 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          Africa seems too wildly low for it to be just age to me, people aren’t THAT young there. Less obesity perhaps.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 20 Sep 2020
          Replying to @CentristMadness

          Nah it's remarkable how much age changes the IFR due to the exponential nature of the curve. For example, reducing the absolute infection rate in the over-80s by 2% in an evenly-spread population reduces the IFR by 10% (1.6%->1.45%)

          0 replies 2 retweets 5 likes
        4. End of conversation

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