Epidemiologists, I need your help! A video is making the rounds within higher ed and I need a fact check.
It's by Igor Cummins: https://youtu.be/8UvFhIFzaac
Has anyone seen it? Thoughts on what he gets right, gets wrong?
Cc @GidMK. @Butterworthy, do you know this guy?
-
-
Replying to @crackedscience @Butterworthy
He is about as contrarian as a person can be - disagrees with the mainstream just to be against it imo
1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes -
So are Heneghan, Gupta, Levitt, Tegnell and others. All seemingly being vindicated as we move through this.
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
I wouldn’t put Heneghan or Tegnell in the same category as Levitt. They are doing serious work and understand stats. Levitt isn’t taken seriously by the biostatistics/modeling community and for good reason.
1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Thank goodness for Heneghan. The UKs deaths would be close to 100k if he didn't rumble PHE cooking the books. The question is why would a public health body want to make deaths appear higher than they actually are. Same thing in the US. Why would they do this?
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
People follow models and processes that are expedient and convenient which become reflexive through bureaucratic inertia. That’s why we need to keep constantly challenging ourselves. Look at the naive way p-values were adopted by science. Not malicious; simply convenient.
2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
I mean, in that specific example it's more about the relative utility of different methods of counting deaths for different purposes. At the start of the epidemic, catching every COVID-19 death was the most imperative - months later, a different kind of accuracy was needed
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.