Community immunity = endemicity = metastable state where only random fluctuations are possible but no epidemics (not enough energy in the system for it to happen).
By this time next year, there is a very good chance that we will have some form of widespread vaccination. While this may still lead to endemic disease, the likelihood is that it would still drive deaths down substantially
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This is, I think, one of the issues of people with no experience in infectious disease treating the pandemic as a purely theoretical exercise. There are hundreds of externalities that a very simple mathematical model does not capture
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Maybe I have no experience. I want to learn. I will ask 2 questions: - What if the vaccinne doesn't happen? What's are the expert exit strategies? - If it happens, can you guarantee here and now to me, that a vaccine in April will be the optimal course of action?
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