It is incredibly frustrating to see people using low death rates from COVID-19 in younger age groups to argue that we can relax all restrictions as long as we protect the elderly without putting forward CONCRETE PROPOSALS about how to do that 1/n
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2/n I agree that protecting the elderly will probably reduce the overall death burden. I am a co-author on a study that demonstrates this exact point!https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v4 …
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3/n The problem is, what we've seen from around the world is that it is REALLY HARD to protect elderly people while relaxing all restrictions because (unsurprisingly) they are a part of society too
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4/n Most of the proposals are limited to some vague hand-waving about aged care, but we demonstrated that even relatively young people were at a pretty high risk from COVID-19pic.twitter.com/7saAXL2rkK
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5/n If we really want to reduce the death rate from COVID-19, it's not as important if really large numbers of 20 year olds get infected (although this is still obviously not ideal!) but even a relatively small % of 60 year olds drives up deaths substantially
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6/n People who are pushing for re-opening everything on the basis of "protect older populations" should first describe how we can prevent people aged 60+ from having risky contact with the rest of society
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7/n Because if the last 6 months have shown us anything, it's that stopping older people from getting COVID-19 is REALLY NOT EASY Saying "protect the elderly" doesn't cut it
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Replying to @GidMK
Are the apparent much lower CFR’s that we’re seeing in places like Spain and France as cases surge again due to better protection of the vulnerable? Or is it another explanation (more comprehensive testing?).pic.twitter.com/BTzfoG4LoE
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It is extremely hard to compare the CFR from early this year to now, due to the testing differences. Always look at the denominator!
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