Study suggesting 60,000 more Australians may have had covid without being tested puts to bed the argument that routine testing and contact tracing on its own stops the virus spreading, does it not? Masks needed, and lockdown best way to stop spread
https://www.smh.com.au/national/60-000-more-people-may-have-had-covid-19-than-detected-study-20200915-p55vx8.html …
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Thanks for that great explanation. I always have trouble wrapping my head around conditional probabilities and how to explain them.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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Dr Coatesworth says the model estimates “somewhere between 0-185,000 cases”. I don’t think I’d base any policy decisions on that!pic.twitter.com/VjoGcttFNY
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Somewhere between 0-185,000, but everyone just hopes it’s zero and moves on. They found undetected spread - double tested positives to make sure. So much wishful thinking going on. 40% asymptomatic. Easy to see how undetected spread happens.
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