It is incredibly frustrating to see people using low death rates from COVID-19 in younger age groups to argue that we can relax all restrictions as long as we protect the elderly without putting forward CONCRETE PROPOSALS about how to do that 1/n
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5/n If we really want to reduce the death rate from COVID-19, it's not as important if really large numbers of 20 year olds get infected (although this is still obviously not ideal!) but even a relatively small % of 60 year olds drives up deaths substantially
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6/n People who are pushing for re-opening everything on the basis of "protect older populations" should first describe how we can prevent people aged 60+ from having risky contact with the rest of society
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7/n Because if the last 6 months have shown us anything, it's that stopping older people from getting COVID-19 is REALLY NOT EASY Saying "protect the elderly" doesn't cut it
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8/n And, of course, this is ignoring any impacts aside from death If there are substantial chronic impacts in the younger population - a definite possibility - then the situation gets even more complicated
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9/n I've written about potential long-term impacts even for young people, they are a real worry and potentially enormously problematic even if the death rate is lowhttps://www.theguardian.com/world/commentisfree/2020/jul/13/as-covid-19-persists-around-the-world-death-is-not-the-only-outcome-to-fear …
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Where are you getting your ifr from per age group?
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See tweet 2 in the thread
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In England, if you are under 35 you are 5 times more likely to die from covid than a car crash, am I reading that right?
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Roughly. England has a very low automobile fatality rate, good safety profile for accidental fatalities
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Yeah. I'm in my late 50's and don't fancy 0.7% chance of dying plus 10% chance of months or more unwell.
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