It's not, actually - even using an IFR of 0.28%, it would be around 5-10x the IFR of seasonal influenza. People love to use an 0.1% figure for flu without realising that this is the CFR for symptomatic cases as per the CDC and WHO
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Replying to @melbprisoner @JayMan471 and
The challenge for influenza is that deaths and cases are inferred, because it is rarely formally diagnosed. That being said, a high CFR would be ~0.15%, and with somewhere around 50% asymptomatic spread you'd expect an IFR of ~0.08% in a bad year
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Replying to @melbprisoner @JayMan471 and
Nope, not at all. Those are all, for one reason or another, ridiculously misleading graphs. Just to take one example, would it be a good thing if overall deaths, which have been reducing every year, went back to 1999 levels?
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Replying to @melbprisoner @JayMan471 and
In this case, it's gone back to 1999 levels WITH THE INTERVENTIONS. This is in England, which had very substantial interventions against COVID-19. So what that graph actually shows is that mortality has lost 20 years of progress even when we intervene
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Replying to @melbprisoner @JayMan471 and
Ban on visitation to aged care. Ban on gatherings of 50+ people. Significant social distancing rules for restaurants/cafes. Closed borders to international travel. Most large public institutions (i.e. zoos) closed. These interventions are still in effect today
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Substantially more restricted right now than most of Europe, and every state in Australia except Victoria. And with a per million death toll about 10x that of VIC.
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