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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 10 Sep 2020
      Replying to @JayMan471 @melbprisoner and

      I always find people producing their own misleading charts to be odd. This is the chart that you get if you go to Statistics Sweden about the time period of COVID-19 of daily deathspic.twitter.com/YEU5JCfBjl

      1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
    2. Melbourne Prisoner  🇦🇺‏ @melbprisoner 10 Sep 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @JayMan471 and

      It's almost as if a virus slightly more deadly than the flu burned through the usual natural mortality more quickly because there was little natural resistance 🤔 Weird I know.pic.twitter.com/jN0BjQaVIp

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 10 Sep 2020
      Replying to @melbprisoner @JayMan471 and

      Lol what utter nonsense. As I said, people who make their own ridiculous graphs are confusing to me. COVID-19 is at least 10x as deadly as influenzahttps://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v4 …

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    4. Melbourne Prisoner  🇦🇺‏ @melbprisoner 10 Sep 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @JayMan471 and

      "Across 32 different locations, the median IFR was 0.27% (corrected to 0.24%). Most studies were done in pandemic epicenters with high death tolls." https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.13.20101253v3 … Some people desperately want this to be the apocalypse. It really is bizarre to watch.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 10 Sep 2020
      Replying to @melbprisoner @JayMan471 and

      Health Nerd Retweeted Health Nerd

      That paper is quite flawed, as I've pointed out. What I do find bizarre is the number of politically-motivated anonymous accounts producing incorrect graphs that are taken seriously. Very strangehttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1283232023402868737?s=20 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Health NerdVerified account @GidMK
      John Ioannidis, of Most Published Research Findings Are False fame has again updated his preprint on infection-fatality rate for COVID-19 Kudos to him for updating, let's again look at what's happened 1/n pic.twitter.com/nE4t1S6rQi
      Show this thread
      0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
    6. This Tweet is unavailable.
    7. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 10 Sep 2020
      Replying to @melbprisoner @JayMan471 and

      It's not, actually - even using an IFR of 0.28%, it would be around 5-10x the IFR of seasonal influenza. People love to use an 0.1% figure for flu without realising that this is the CFR for symptomatic cases as per the CDC and WHO

      0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
    8. This Tweet is unavailable.
    9. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 10 Sep 2020
      Replying to @melbprisoner @JayMan471 and

      The challenge for influenza is that deaths and cases are inferred, because it is rarely formally diagnosed. That being said, a high CFR would be ~0.15%, and with somewhere around 50% asymptomatic spread you'd expect an IFR of ~0.08% in a bad year

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    10. This Tweet is unavailable.
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 10 Sep 2020
      Replying to @melbprisoner @JayMan471 and

      Nope, not at all. Those are all, for one reason or another, ridiculously misleading graphs. Just to take one example, would it be a good thing if overall deaths, which have been reducing every year, went back to 1999 levels?

      6:20 PM - 10 Sep 2020
      • 2 Likes
      • Atomsk's Sanakan JayMan
      0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. This Tweet is unavailable.
        2. JayMan‏ @JayMan471 10 Sep 2020
          Replying to @melbprisoner @GidMK and

          Talking about moving the goalposts on that one.

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. End of conversation

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