That is of course is horseshit.https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1301756592212176896 …
Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him
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JayMan Retweeted Health Nerd
That is of course is horseshit.https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1301756592212176896 …
JayMan added,
I always find people producing their own misleading charts to be odd. This is the chart that you get if you go to Statistics Sweden about the time period of COVID-19 of daily deathspic.twitter.com/YEU5JCfBjl
It's almost as if a virus slightly more deadly than the flu burned through the usual natural mortality more quickly because there was little natural resistance
Weird I know.pic.twitter.com/jN0BjQaVIp
Lol what utter nonsense. As I said, people who make their own ridiculous graphs are confusing to me. COVID-19 is at least 10x as deadly as influenzahttps://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v4 …
"Across 32 different locations, the median IFR was 0.27% (corrected to 0.24%). Most studies were done in pandemic epicenters with high death tolls." https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.13.20101253v3 … Some people desperately want this to be the apocalypse. It really is bizarre to watch.
Health Nerd Retweeted Health Nerd
That paper is quite flawed, as I've pointed out. What I do find bizarre is the number of politically-motivated anonymous accounts producing incorrect graphs that are taken seriously. Very strangehttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1283232023402868737?s=20 …
Health Nerd added,
It's not, actually - even using an IFR of 0.28%, it would be around 5-10x the IFR of seasonal influenza. People love to use an 0.1% figure for flu without realising that this is the CFR for symptomatic cases as per the CDC and WHO
The challenge for influenza is that deaths and cases are inferred, because it is rarely formally diagnosed. That being said, a high CFR would be ~0.15%, and with somewhere around 50% asymptomatic spread you'd expect an IFR of ~0.08% in a bad year
But, as we noted in the paper I linked above, this elides the true issue with COVID-19, which is that the death rate is very closely linked to age. If you compare the two stratified by age, COVID-19 is ~10-20x higher than flu
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