Yeah, in Sweden it probably is. New herd immunity threshold estimate is ~20% seroprevalence. Stockholm waa about that a couple of months ago. Consider that 80% of cases are too mild to produce blood antibodies, but did have T-cell response. 20 + 80 = ?
-
-
Replying to @melbprisoner @QueeniesDad and
Nope. Sweden is nowhere near herd immunity.
1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes -
Replying to @JayMan471 @QueeniesDad and
You have no idea. Talk to
@SunetraGupta or@mgmgomes1 about herd immunity theshokd. It's not rocket science. <20% of cases produce blood antibodies. Stockholm was near 20% seroprevalence a while back. There is no social distancing and essentially no ICU admissions or deaths.2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes -
Replying to @melbprisoner @QueeniesDad and
JayMan Retweeted Health Nerd
That is of course is horseshit.https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1301756592212176896 …
JayMan added,
2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes -
Replying to @JayMan471 @melbprisoner and
I always find people producing their own misleading charts to be odd. This is the chart that you get if you go to Statistics Sweden about the time period of COVID-19 of daily deathspic.twitter.com/YEU5JCfBjl
1 reply 1 retweet 1 like -
Replying to @GidMK @JayMan471 and
It's almost as if a virus slightly more deadly than the flu burned through the usual natural mortality more quickly because there was little natural resistance
Weird I know.pic.twitter.com/jN0BjQaVIp
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @melbprisoner @JayMan471 and
Lol what utter nonsense. As I said, people who make their own ridiculous graphs are confusing to me. COVID-19 is at least 10x as deadly as influenzahttps://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v4 …
1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes -
Replying to @GidMK @JayMan471 and
"Across 32 different locations, the median IFR was 0.27% (corrected to 0.24%). Most studies were done in pandemic epicenters with high death tolls." https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.13.20101253v3 … Some people desperately want this to be the apocalypse. It really is bizarre to watch.
1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @melbprisoner @JayMan471 and
Health Nerd Retweeted Health Nerd
That paper is quite flawed, as I've pointed out. What I do find bizarre is the number of politically-motivated anonymous accounts producing incorrect graphs that are taken seriously. Very strangehttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1283232023402868737?s=20 …
Health Nerd added,
0 replies 1 retweet 1 like -
This Tweet is unavailable.
It's not, actually - even using an IFR of 0.28%, it would be around 5-10x the IFR of seasonal influenza. People love to use an 0.1% figure for flu without realising that this is the CFR for symptomatic cases as per the CDC and WHO
-
-
This Tweet is unavailable.
-
Replying to @melbprisoner @JayMan471 and
The challenge for influenza is that deaths and cases are inferred, because it is rarely formally diagnosed. That being said, a high CFR would be ~0.15%, and with somewhere around 50% asymptomatic spread you'd expect an IFR of ~0.08% in a bad year
1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes - Show replies
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.