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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
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@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Queenie's Dad‏ @QueeniesDad 10 Sep 2020
      Replying to @JayMan471 @melbprisoner and

      Which begs the question, @JayMan471 , why in the blue blazes are you and your crew (including 49 governors, I might add) so durn worried about this ??

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    2. JayMan‏ @JayMan471 10 Sep 2020
      Replying to @QueeniesDad @melbprisoner and

      Nothing saying it’s going to stay at 6,000. Plus that’s still 6,000 people who didn’t need to die.

      3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    3. Melbourne Prisoner  🇦🇺‏ @melbprisoner 10 Sep 2020
      Replying to @JayMan471 @QueeniesDad and

      Yeah, in Sweden it probably is. New herd immunity threshold estimate is ~20% seroprevalence. Stockholm waa about that a couple of months ago. Consider that 80% of cases are too mild to produce blood antibodies, but did have T-cell response. 20 + 80 = ?

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    4. JayMan‏ @JayMan471 10 Sep 2020
      Replying to @melbprisoner @QueeniesDad and

      Nope. Sweden is nowhere near herd immunity.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    5. Melbourne Prisoner  🇦🇺‏ @melbprisoner 10 Sep 2020
      Replying to @JayMan471 @QueeniesDad and

      You have no idea. Talk to @SunetraGupta or @mgmgomes1 about herd immunity theshokd. It's not rocket science. <20% of cases produce blood antibodies. Stockholm was near 20% seroprevalence a while back. There is no social distancing and essentially no ICU admissions or deaths.

      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    6. JayMan‏ @JayMan471 10 Sep 2020
      Replying to @melbprisoner @QueeniesDad and

      JayMan Retweeted Health Nerd

      That is of course is horseshit.https://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1301756592212176896 …

      JayMan added,

      Health NerdVerified account @GidMK
      I find this immensely frustrating There is actually not really any evidence at all that serology surveys are 'flawed' or 'dramatically underestimate' how many people have had COVID-19 Sigh pic.twitter.com/Q8yWz2FHgV
      Show this thread
      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
    7. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 10 Sep 2020
      Replying to @JayMan471 @melbprisoner and

      I always find people producing their own misleading charts to be odd. This is the chart that you get if you go to Statistics Sweden about the time period of COVID-19 of daily deathspic.twitter.com/YEU5JCfBjl

      1 reply 1 retweet 1 like
    8. Melbourne Prisoner  🇦🇺‏ @melbprisoner 10 Sep 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @JayMan471 and

      It's almost as if a virus slightly more deadly than the flu burned through the usual natural mortality more quickly because there was little natural resistance 🤔 Weird I know.pic.twitter.com/jN0BjQaVIp

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 10 Sep 2020
      Replying to @melbprisoner @JayMan471 and

      Lol what utter nonsense. As I said, people who make their own ridiculous graphs are confusing to me. COVID-19 is at least 10x as deadly as influenzahttps://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v4 …

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    10. Melbourne Prisoner  🇦🇺‏ @melbprisoner 10 Sep 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @JayMan471 and

      "Across 32 different locations, the median IFR was 0.27% (corrected to 0.24%). Most studies were done in pandemic epicenters with high death tolls." https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.13.20101253v3 … Some people desperately want this to be the apocalypse. It really is bizarre to watch.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 10 Sep 2020
      Replying to @melbprisoner @JayMan471 and

      Health Nerd Retweeted Health Nerd

      That paper is quite flawed, as I've pointed out. What I do find bizarre is the number of politically-motivated anonymous accounts producing incorrect graphs that are taken seriously. Very strangehttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1283232023402868737?s=20 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Health NerdVerified account @GidMK
      John Ioannidis, of Most Published Research Findings Are False fame has again updated his preprint on infection-fatality rate for COVID-19 Kudos to him for updating, let's again look at what's happened 1/n pic.twitter.com/nE4t1S6rQi
      Show this thread
      5:19 PM - 10 Sep 2020
      • 1 Retweet
      • 1 Like
      • JayMan
      0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
        1. This Tweet is unavailable.
        2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 10 Sep 2020
          Replying to @melbprisoner @JayMan471 and

          It's not, actually - even using an IFR of 0.28%, it would be around 5-10x the IFR of seasonal influenza. People love to use an 0.1% figure for flu without realising that this is the CFR for symptomatic cases as per the CDC and WHO

          0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
        3. End of conversation

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