That rests on a presumption on long-term immunity. It is also, of course, a very odd strawman not only of my position but of the majority of epidemiological thought
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We’ve seen it in more or less one season, and the virus’ own attributes suggest that seasonality will be a serious factor. (It’s a respiratory virus, and we’re indoors during winter).
End of conversation
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There seems to be a recent effort in saying that lockdowns don't really do anything,it's "seasonality", that happens to coincide with lockdowns.The theory is based on the hope simpson book.
@gidmk do you have a view/anywhere you could point me to read about it in context of covid?Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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I talk a lot about the mistake people make thinking it is always safer to err on the side of extreme action.
Here is a simple thought experiment to illustrate this point.
Imagine you are given a magic wand which, if you wave it, will reduce COVID transmission by... 1/11