As if the alternative does not require careful long-term thinking? What an odd thing to say. You seem to be arguing that no one not using your terminology could engage in complexity, which is an absurd and nonsensical thing to say
It is also probably worth noting that this sort of argument rarely takes into account the fact that longer delays allow treatment development. I'd much rather get COVID-19 in 2021 than 2020!
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Yes the benefits of delay must be weighed against what can be gained by using the time/compliance we have now to affect the infected population. These discussions aren't happening enough. Also, you might rather have it in summer than winter:https://twitter.com/WesPegden/status/1295752780792115206 …
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It is ~possible~ that delaying transmissions may cause a larger outbreak, but given that COVID-19 has not displayed a very strong seasonal trend thus far it is quite unlikelyhttps://twitter.com/GidMK/status/1302880415548542979?s=20 …
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I talk a lot about the mistake people make thinking it is always safer to err on the side of extreme action.
Here is a simple thought experiment to illustrate this point.
Imagine you are given a magic wand which, if you wave it, will reduce COVID transmission by... 1/11