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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Tim Harford‏Verified account @TimHarford 3 Sep 2020

      1/ Time for an apology and a correction. Seems that every newspaper in the UK is (correctly) reporting that I said the risk of catching a fatal case of Covid-19 is about the same as the risk of having a bath. I did say that, but I was wrong. Details below.

      118 replies 527 retweets 2,182 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 3 Sep 2020
      Replying to @TimHarford

      This is a brilliant thread, and I love correcting mistakes. I would point out one other statement in the piece that I don't agree with (although whether it is an error or not is open to interpretation) I don't think "very unlikely" is correctpic.twitter.com/3idk22aE9l

      2 replies 1 retweet 27 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 3 Sep 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @TimHarford

      Colleagues and I have run a metaregression looking at aggregated risks of death by age. The relationship is remarkably log-linear, and so obviously increases substantially with every passing yearhttps://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v4 …

      2:12 AM - 3 Sep 2020
      • 2 Retweets
      • 7 Likes
      • Loretta Torrago Gordon:Covid grapher, data hunter-gatherer Dr Kit Byatt Hiti de Kretser: AZ all the way! 🐢🦥 Oliver Maclaren Andrew G. Gibson Laura McCall #NoMassInfection marcela mora y araujo☮️💚
      2 replies 2 retweets 7 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 3 Sep 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @TimHarford

          Based on our findings, the risk of death for a 50-year old person is 0.22% if they catch COVID-19. Now, I would argue that is quite substantial - on par with catching influenza 30 times in one year - and so not "very unlikely"

          4 replies 5 retweets 19 likes
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 3 Sep 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @TimHarford

          The risk of death doesn't drop to truly low levels until you get to the 20s and 30s, and even then it is not entirely negligible Anyway, this is more about language than anything else, but it did stand out to me (probably because this has become a bit of an obsession)

          0 replies 2 retweets 12 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Gordon:Covid grapher, data hunter-gatherer‏ @gordonrlove 3 Sep 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @TimHarford

          Great article. It seems to confirm this early publication by England&Wales' Office of National Statisticspic.twitter.com/iVYhuGKtzg

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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