1/ Time for an apology and a correction. Seems that every newspaper in the UK is (correctly) reporting that I said the risk of catching a fatal case of Covid-19 is about the same as the risk of having a bath. I did say that, but I was wrong. Details below.
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Based on our findings, the risk of death for a 50-year old person is 0.22% if they catch COVID-19. Now, I would argue that is quite substantial - on par with catching influenza 30 times in one year - and so not "very unlikely"
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The risk of death doesn't drop to truly low levels until you get to the 20s and 30s, and even then it is not entirely negligible Anyway, this is more about language than anything else, but it did stand out to me (probably because this has become a bit of an obsession)
End of conversation
New conversation -
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Great article. It seems to confirm this early publication by England&Wales' Office of National Statisticspic.twitter.com/iVYhuGKtzg
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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