Quick! Quick! Herd immunity is almost here so let’s get the vaccines out without wasting time on safety trials!https://twitter.com/Noahpinion/status/1301297514193190913 …
The second paper actually explicitly discusses the fact that their entire modelling approach rests on this assumption, which is an issue because of course it is not demonstrable and plausibly wrong
-
-
We can also look at some counterfactuals that are already springing up. Many places in Spain had reached a seroprevalence >10%, some >15%, and yet they are very much experiencing a resurgence in infections right now
-
I don't understand your point about mobility. Can you elaborate? It seems to me that you have to choose, for simplicity, between a model that treats these countries as open "herds" or one that treats them as compartmentalized. What is the risk of excluding partial transfusion?
- Show replies
New conversation -
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.