This seems to be a very commonly misunderstood point, and while I explain in my blog post I thought I'd also do a tweetorial to explain: WHY MOST COVID-19 DEATHS ARE CAUSED BY COVID-19 1/nhttps://twitter.com/Adam_Creighton/status/1300732710663544833 …
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13/n Thing is, we can't entirely ignore comorbidities. We know that the diabetes, in this case, played a role in Greg's death Remember, for every 1,000 people with diabetes who get hit by cars, an extra 5 die that wouldn't if not for the diabetes!
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14/n So, we still classify diabetes as a comorbidity, because it's important, but it's clearly not the thing that actually killed Greg
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15/n Now for the big/very obvious reveal - the car is COVID-19 A 50-year-old man has a risk of about 2 in 1,000 of dying from COVID-19. For the sake of argument, let's say that doubles to 4 in 1,000 if he has diabetes
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16/n Thing is, his risk may be reduced by 0.2% if there's no diabetes, but it's reduced BY 100% if there's no COVID-19
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17/n We can see this quite clearly in the US excess mortality figures There are about 200,000 people who WOULD BE ALIVE TODAY if not for COVID-19pic.twitter.com/VFo5yjMw6s
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18/n Moreover, if you look at the CDC's reports, >95% of COVID-19 certified deaths had COVID-19 as the UNDERLYING (remember, main) cause of death In other words, COVID-19 was behind MOST IF NOT ALL of these deathspic.twitter.com/IJL4YGKO7G
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19/n There you have it - a simple explanation As I said, MOST COVID-19 DEATHS ARE CAUSED BY COVID-19. Fin
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End of conversation
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Do you have Greg's no.
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