Since everyone's talking about herd immunity in the United States at the moment, I thought I'd quickly run some rough calculations of the number of deaths required to get to the herd immunity threshold for COVID-19 in the U.S.
We delve into all of this in the methods and supplementaries, including the 4 week decision and the time for antibodies to form
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I read that, but no mention of any adjustments for AB undercount bias And the 4 wk time didn't account for overlap with fatalities from infections post-measurement date Why didn't you use fatalities by "date of death" instead of date of report? You could nix your extra 7 days
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Basically all your IFR estimates are higher than the leading papers for the studies you cite. Most were written before we knew how quickly AB's go below detectable levels (particularly in asympto's) Did you reach out to the rep's for these studies to compare your IFR calc?
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