Since everyone's talking about herd immunity in the United States at the moment, I thought I'd quickly run some rough calculations of the number of deaths required to get to the herd immunity threshold for COVID-19 in the U.S.
Not at all - I gave the citation for the age-specific IFR right at the start of the thread. Second tweet
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Thx, didn't see it. Glad you did a sero specific meta Doesn't look like you adj for: 1) Time for AB's to form (~2 wks) 2) Type of AB's in the test (IgM, IgG, IgA, etc.) 3) Decay rates for AB's -- we know they don't last that long + 4 wks of fatalities post meas is long
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We delve into all of this in the methods and supplementaries, including the 4 week decision and the time for antibodies to form
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