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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Dr Ben Lynch‏ @DrBenLynch 27 Aug 2020

      Dr Ben Lynch Retweeted MarketWatch

      Gideon: You sound out if it, mate. Immunity is exactly what we all need against COVID. If 40% are asymptomatic, that’s great. Then you let loose those with low inflammation and higher Vit D levels to get COVID naturally. They stay home. Heal up. Done. Population has antibodies.https://twitter.com/MarketWatch/status/1298782254827745280 …

      Dr Ben Lynch added,

      MarketWatchVerified account @MarketWatch
      "The sad fact is that herd immunity just isn’t a solution to our pandemic woes," said Gideon Meyerowitz-Katz, an epidemiologist working in chronic disease in Sydney, Australia. https://on.mktw.net/34Hdzxv 
      3 replies 6 retweets 33 likes
    2. Matthew Brignall, ND‏ @drbrignall 30 Aug 2020
      Replying to @DrBenLynch

      My goodness what a cruel take. 1) less than 5% of popl has been exposed. To get to herd immunity, you'd be up around 60%. So deaths in millions. 2) herd immunity doesnt work that way. Diseases find vulnerable people. Congregate care would still be tinder. @GidMK - comments?

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 31 Aug 2020
      Replying to @drbrignall @DrBenLynch

      Even with all those factors - vit D, some level of t-cells etc - the virus is this bad. Death rate varies with age, but is very high 🤷‍♂️

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    4. alfonzo‏ @alfonzoPgr 31 Aug 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @drbrignall @DrBenLynch

      Even in those under 45 years old?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Matthew Brignall, ND‏ @drbrignall 31 Aug 2020
      Replying to @alfonzoPgr @GidMK @DrBenLynch

      Death rate is obv much lower in younger people, but it isn't zero. And, as we've seen in my LHJ, if cases go up in college kids, it will show up in the nursing homes in two weeks.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    6. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 31 Aug 2020
      Replying to @drbrignall @alfonzoPgr @DrBenLynch

      Our paper on IFR by age goes into this. At age 40, the death rate is 0.07%, which is pretty high already!https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v4 …

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    7. alfonzo‏ @alfonzoPgr 31 Aug 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @drbrignall @DrBenLynch

      Is that taking into account pre existing health? So, say a healthy 37 year old man, He has a high chance of dying if he catches covid?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 31 Aug 2020
      Replying to @alfonzoPgr @drbrignall @DrBenLynch

      This is not differentiating, because the data we used in the metaregression was not sufficient to distinguish comorbidities. However, we did find that age explained ~90% of the variance, so the contribution of pre-existing health is likely relatively small

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    9. alfonzo‏ @alfonzoPgr 31 Aug 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @drbrignall @DrBenLynch

      What you’re saying is if you’re in good health, it doesn’t really matter?

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 31 Aug 2020
      Replying to @alfonzoPgr @drbrignall @DrBenLynch

      Nah, I'm saying pre-existing health is important, but we couldn't control for it in our analysis. What we did find was that age explained a lot of the variance in death rates, which makes it likely that pre-existing health isn't the main driver of death

      7:12 PM - 31 Aug 2020
      • 2 Likes
      • Les Witherspoon 🏳️‍🌈 alfonzo
      0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes

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