If you are under age 45 and get infected with SARS-CoV2, your risk of dying with COVID is lower than your annual risk of dying in an accident. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v3.full.pdf+html …pic.twitter.com/x5dr25HD8D
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For example, at age 20 your risk of death from COVID-19 is 0.006%, whereas at age 30 it is 0.02% and at 40 it is 0.07% This is given by the equation in the paperpic.twitter.com/hEzCk4uoJW
It's also worth noting that accidental death/automobile deaths are one of the primary causes of death for children, so for a disease to be as fatal as the yearly burden for those is actually quite scary in and of itself!
Re: "Glad you liked our paper!"
@kerpen neither read the paper nor understood it. Same for those credulously re-tweeting what he says.
(You probably knew that, but are too cordial to say it
)
Case in point:
https://twitter.com/kerpen/status/1257305955412267008 …
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v4 …pic.twitter.com/H8aFiodL0P
Re: "@kerpen neither read the paper nor understood it. Same for those credulously re-tweeting what he says"
And no prizes for guessing @kerpen didn't mention that the paper undermined a misleading article he previously trumpeted:
https://twitter.com/kerpen/status/1274119859496943616 …
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v4 …pic.twitter.com/ChCRRirI7T
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