On the one hand, this does appear to contradict the widespread assumption of conservative pundits who argued that government actions would kill more through mental health issues than COVID-19 On the other, it's a bit more complicated than thathttps://twitter.com/theage/status/1298773921131626499 …
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People like to tie suicide directly to mental health, but it's actually a pretty complex interrelationship For example, a reasonable number of people who commit suicide don't have an identified mental health issuepic.twitter.com/JX05D3T50t
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Another way of thinking about this is that you can prevent suicides by restricting access to the means of suicide
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What do I mean by that? Well, if you make it more difficult to access the method of suicide that people use, fewer people die from suicide OVERALL For example, putting up fences on bridgespic.twitter.com/HI5xiq1lyo
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This is, in part, because suicide is more of an impulsive act than many people recognize Additional barriers, even pretty small ones, can deter a surprisingly large number of people from going on to die from suicide
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What does this mean for COVID-19? Well, it's not as simple as "suicides didn't go up therefore everything's fine" Suicides numbers may not have risen, but there are complex reasons that this could be the case
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It's possible that the restrictions imposed that kept people at home also reduced their access to means, which then could've reduced the total rate suicide
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Conversely, the impact of restrictions might simply be delayed, and we'll see a rise in suicides as the year progresses It's very hard to know for sure!
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