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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ  🦠 🤧 🧬 🥼 🦟 🧻 🧙‍♂️‏Verified account @MackayIM 17 Aug 2020

      Enough back & forth childishness about Sweden. The real issue is not about "no lockdown", it's about understanding what precisely is being done (no, its not herd immunity) that's preventing the flare ups being seen elsewhere? Luck or some formula? Specifics.

      31 replies 28 retweets 181 likes
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 17 Aug 2020
      Replying to @MackayIM

      I think it's a complex answer, but basically a combination of immunity (they've had ~10% infections), ongoing restrictions (which are tighter than Aus now!), and changed behaviour generally in the country

      6 replies 5 retweets 35 likes
    3. ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ  🦠 🤧 🧬 🥼 🦟 🧻 🧙‍♂️‏Verified account @MackayIM 17 Aug 2020
      Replying to @GidMK

      What % do areas in Spain or Japan etc etc have that are seeing resurgences?

      2 replies 1 retweet 4 likes
    4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 17 Aug 2020
      Replying to @MackayIM

      Japan very low. Spain varies from 5-12% but they relaxed their distancing whereas Sweden has kept the rules consistent

      2 replies 1 retweet 8 likes
    5. ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ  🦠 🤧 🧬 🥼 🦟 🧻 🧙‍♂️‏Verified account @MackayIM 17 Aug 2020
      Replying to @GidMK

      So Sweden is susceptible to the same level of spread at any time? Which may in fact have started now. They've been lucky so far due to holidays?

      2 replies 1 retweet 3 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 17 Aug 2020
      Replying to @MackayIM

      I think it's hard to predict. As with many places, if the behaviour that has led to reduced spread relaxes ( which may be seasonal and context specific), the virus comes back

      4:19 AM - 17 Aug 2020
      • 6 Likes
      • Chris #GetVaccinated blah Richard EB 🔴Lalyta 💔🇮🇹💔🇧🇴 Khajka ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ 🦠🤧🧬🥼🦟🧻🧙‍♂️
      2 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
        1. David Steadson  🇦🇺 🇸🇪 🇪🇺 🌍‏ @DavidSteadson 17 Aug 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @MackayIM

          Based on the (admittedly poor) testing data we have, I estimate there's at least 5000-10000 people who are potentially infectious returning to schools and workplaces this week. alas I think it's quite predictable 😥

          0 replies 0 retweets 4 likes
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        2. ɪᴀɴ ᴍ. ᴍᴀᴄᴋᴀʏ, ᴘʜᴅ  🦠 🤧 🧬 🥼 🦟 🧻 🧙‍♂️‏Verified account @MackayIM 17 Aug 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          Relaxes from "Swedes are mostly going about there normal life" restriction levels? As you said, it's complex

          3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        3. David Steadson  🇦🇺 🇸🇪 🇪🇺 🌍‏ @DavidSteadson 17 Aug 2020
          Replying to @MackayIM @GidMK

          I think people underestimate the initial NPI here. Social distancing stickers and posters *everywhere*. Schools and universities closed. Sports events, amusement parks closed. Don't travel more than 2 hours. Don't associate with people you don't normally associate with.

          2 replies 7 retweets 25 likes
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