Updated systematic review and meta-analysis of age-specific IFR for COVID-19! Now includes more than a dozen samples from across the world (and yours truly as a co-author
) 1/nhttps://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160895v3 …
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7/n What this means is that we can say with some certainty that the differences in death rate between many places may come down to how society interacts with older people
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8/n There are still many unexplained variances here, and it's certainly not all about age, but age definitely has a huge impact
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9/n Age-specific IFR meta-analysis, might be of interest
@CT_Bergstrom@MackayIM@SaskiaPopescu@BillHanage@stephaniemleeShow this thread
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Maybe Italy was an outlier because of the overwhelming of the healthcare system?
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But many of these places had similar overwhelming (Spain, Belgium etc) so that doesn't seem to be a good explanation
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Is Excess mortality included in the estimates or only deaths from official agencies?
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Primarily official deaths, because for most places excess fatalities are not calculable or not public
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Italy had to be exclude because Fontana gouvernor of Lombardy put 4700 patients from hospital to RSA elder hospital without covid test!!! Think create a lot of covid patient cases between elder. Think him going prison next months.
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Was Italy excluded from the calculations for this line, if it is an outlier? It seems to me a lot of lines could be drawn through this cloud of points.
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on italy the ifr adjusted for age is
https://twitter.com/gianlucac1/status/1290898997691981824?s=19 …Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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