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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 13 Aug 2020

      This study could've paved the way for a successful treatment. Instead, we are now months into a pandemic, with billions spent on these patients, and still have no idea if what Mayo did was worthwhile or a waste of time

      1 reply 3 retweets 20 likes
      Show this thread
    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 13 Aug 2020

      Worse, it's entirely possible that the treatment is harmful, but without an appropriate control group we can only hope that it isn't Very, very depressing

      3 replies 1 retweet 25 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 13 Aug 2020

      Also worth noting that for the main finding - i.e. people getting plasma early died less than those who got it late - THEY DIDN'T EVEN ADJUST FOR AGE AND SEX That's just...woeful. Maybe people who get plasma later are just older???

      1 reply 1 retweet 24 likes
      Show this thread
    4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 13 Aug 2020

      I mean, it's an observational study where they're comparing two groups, getting headlines across the world, but they haven't adjusted that estimate for ANYTHING including things that might make a huge difference

      1 reply 0 retweets 14 likes
      Show this thread
    5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 13 Aug 2020

      Have to say, the more I think about it the worse this study looks All these authors and no one thought to adjust for age? Or gender? Or one of the many biases that are likely to be present here?pic.twitter.com/z0UKMVKqTb

      4 replies 2 retweets 28 likes
      Show this thread
    6. Hilda Bastian, PhD‏ @hildabast 15 Aug 2020
      Replying to @GidMK

      I'm not for one moment suggesting I agree with these authors' conclusions, & I'm not saying it's a good study... but .....pic.twitter.com/SmseuiSK5O

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 15 Aug 2020
      Replying to @hildabast

      Yes. But the main finding presented in the news and in interviews appears not to have been adjusted for - they used the bootstrapping for the concentration of antibodies but I cannot see the same methodology used for the 3 vs >=4 days

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    8. Hilda Bastian, PhD‏ @hildabast 15 Aug 2020
      Replying to @GidMK

      But that's not what the tweet I'm challenging said: "All these authors and no one thought to adjust for age? Or gender? Or one of the many biases that are likely to be present here?"

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 15 Aug 2020
      Replying to @hildabast

      But if the analysis is pivotal to their paper, surely it applies? Perhaps I was a bit overdone, but it's just baffling to me and very frustrating to see!

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    10. Hilda Bastian, PhD‏ @hildabast 15 Aug 2020
      Replying to @GidMK

      A couple of those tweets look to me like you're trying to paint the authors as incompetent when the paper makes it perfectly clear they in fact did what you're accusing them of not doing. I'm no fan of what they've done, but they don't deserve that insult.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 15 Aug 2020
      Replying to @hildabast

      I'm not trying to paint them as incompetent. I just can't see how that could happen, and then be presented worldwide as fact and truth

      1:55 AM - 15 Aug 2020
      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Hilda Bastian, PhD‏ @hildabast 15 Aug 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          And telling the world none of the authors thought of adjusting for age etc is "fact" and "truth"? (Anyway, it's an observational study: you can't adjust your way out of that.)pic.twitter.com/VXFYZugg5n

          1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 15 Aug 2020
          Replying to @hildabast

          I mean, they didn't for the primary outcome that was reported pretty much everywhere, so... And yes, absolutely, whether or not they adjusted for age in this case the results are pretty meaningless

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation

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