This is the best write up of the whole T cells and herd immunity thing that I've seen, and somehow it still misses a central point: If COVID-19 was this bad WITH EXISTING IMMUNITY then the immunity doesn't matter all that muchhttps://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1292650588543434752 …
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Gotcha. Would it at the same time rule out another similar repeat spike in those two locations, specifically, for example? Is that the main takeaway? That, if true, it's herd immunity (vs. ongoing behavioral adaptations) which are preventing a resurgence in hardest hit areas?
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Not necessarily. If 50% of the population has some immunity, you have to basically double the observed R0 to get the true value, which then has a much higher cutoff
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