For the record, insofar as a single IFR is possible, I reckon that neither the Qatari nor Italian numbers from these two studies are likely
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The result from the Qatari study is based on extrapolation from (in part) a pretty biased serology study which makes it hard to know how accurate it is
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I can't find a specific issue with the Italian IFR, but it's more than triple the next highest estimate and so I'm a bit skeptical
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Ok, solved the Italian question. If you stratify the infection rate by age, and apply the age-stratified IFR you get a similar number. Basically, in this town, older people got infected A LOT more than usual
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If you assume the deaths were distributed as per previous research, there would be 1 death under 50 years, 5 deaths 50-70, and ~65 deaths 70+ Overall IFR in this case would be ~1.5%
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This could be wrong, of course, but the overall IFR appears consistent with the age breakdown of the town and of Italy as a whole
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End of conversation
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I only read the beginning, but as misinterpretations go this article scores pretty high!
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