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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
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@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 3 Aug 2020

      Health Nerd Retweeted Adam Creighton

      Always fascinating to watch people discuss risks like this in the abstract, but is Adam offering himself and his family up for low, low 1 in 20 (or 1 in 700) risk?https://twitter.com/Adam_Creighton/status/1290139992027623424 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Adam CreightonVerified account @Adam_Creighton
      Chance of dying from the Coronavirus IF infected 10-19 years: 1 in 312,500 20 to 49 : 1 in 10,870 50 to 64: 1 in 714 65 plus: 1 in 18 Outcome? Hysteria and evisceration of normal life for months for everyone, even if vaccine doubtful https://www.thelancet.com/pdfs/journals/laninf/PIIS1473-3099(20)30584-3.pdf …
      11 replies 8 retweets 44 likes
      Show this thread
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 3 Aug 2020

      How about this @Adam_Creighton - list 20 friends and family in your life over 65 years. I'm sure you can think of them Tell me, or better yet tell them, which one is for the cutting block

      4:50 AM - 3 Aug 2020
      • 5 Retweets
      • 63 Likes
      • 🤷‍♂️ Mark Germaine 💧 Ian "Department of Diseasology" 🍩 Musgrave Toby Ritchie Trilnack Hiti de Kretser: AZ all the way! 🐢🦥 Atomsk's Sanakan Ross Powell Dr Paul Mackey
      8 replies 5 retweets 63 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Dr. Joel C. Miller‏ @joel_c_miller 3 Aug 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @Adam_Creighton

          May I also suggest - subdividing that 20 to 49 group? I'm not interested in my risk averaged with a bunch of almost teenagers. - providing info on the probability of long-term disability by age group as well?

          1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
        3. Dr Paul Mackey‏ @auscandoc 3 Aug 2020
          Replying to @joel_c_miller @GidMK @Adam_Creighton

          Great minds..! And do I read that there were only two deaths in that group... and the youngest overall was 31. I’m trying to figure out how one derives any meaningful numbers from that?!?!

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. End of conversation
        1. Fibroblast_Fletch‏ @ImmunologyMelb 3 Aug 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @Adam_Creighton

          I'd also consider the 60% of symptomatic patients with myocardial inflammation even after infection resolves, including people with milder disease who were never hospitalised. All those reports of ongoing breathlessness - this is one reason why. https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamacardiology/fullarticle/2768916 …

          0 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
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        1. Doug Sloane‏ @DouglasSloane 3 Aug 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @Adam_Creighton

          And also name the 3 others who will suffer devastating lung and vascular damage.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. MiketheMadBiologist‏ @mikethemadbiol 3 Aug 2020
          Replying to @GidMK

          not convinced someone so callous like Creighton has 20 friends

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. Christina Maslen  💙NHS #wokeandproud  🇪🇺‏ @retired6864 3 Aug 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @Adam_Creighton

          I have 2 words for Adam: Long Covid. Death is not the only outcome Also see: https://blogs.bmj.com/bmj/2020/07/28/nisreen-a-alwan-what-exactly-is-mild-covid-19/ …

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        1. Julia L Bach‏ @JuliaLBach8 3 Aug 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @Adam_Creighton

          What you believe about the purpose and meaning of life and death are very critical to this discussion.

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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        1. New conversation
        2. Dr Paul Mackey‏ @auscandoc 3 Aug 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @Adam_Creighton

          Oh he’s at this one too? I had tagged you in a thread where someone else was using the same argument. What I couldn’t understand from the actual letter is how they derived any numbers for <20 if that population had zero deaths ?!?

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 3 Aug 2020
          Replying to @auscandoc @Adam_Creighton

          Oh they derived a plausible interval then took the midpoint. Given their sample size, impossible to exclude the risk for that age group, so they gave a reasonable estimate

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Show replies

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