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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Jul 2020

      Something that has been annoying me all pandemic is this idea of ICU beds and capacity It's often painted as having [x] number of beds, all of which are available for COVID-19 Thanks not really how it works, sadly 1/n

      5 replies 30 retweets 94 likes
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    2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Jul 2020

      2/n So, for example, the United States had ~3 ICU beds per 10,000 people pre-pandemic Often, that's assumed to mean that things would be fine as long as COVID-19 didn't put more than 3/10000 people in ICU

      1 reply 1 retweet 11 likes
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    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Jul 2020

      3/n But that's actually VASTLY overestimating the number of ICU beds available on any given day It's looking at TOTAL capacity instead of AVAILABLE capacity

      1 reply 1 retweet 18 likes
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    4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Jul 2020

      4/n The thing about ICUs - as with any hospital bed - is that you don't add space unless you need it already This makes sense; you don't want to have staff hanging around doing nothing, or expensive medical equipment that you don't need

      1 reply 1 retweet 12 likes
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    5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Jul 2020

      5/n Now, ICU capacity varies over the course of the year. Some hospitals have more space, some less. But most ICUs are usually somewhere between 80-90% full on any given day

      1 reply 2 retweets 10 likes
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      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Jul 2020

      6/n In your average winter, they're more like 95-100% full on any given day, with many hospitals operating at >100% usual capacity for weeks at a time

      9:34 PM - 29 Jul 2020
      • 2 Retweets
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      • Ms.Firecracker Ody SKI-UR-ASS Theo SandyM Proud European from Austria🇪🇺🇦🇹 🌏 Dolce Jan Soroczynski
      1 reply 2 retweets 13 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Jul 2020

          7/n So when we talk about overwhelming hospital capacity, it's not the enormous wave that is often portrayed Often, a few extra people in ICU tips the balance

          1 reply 1 retweet 17 likes
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        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Jul 2020

          8/n This is also why it's so hard to increase capacity. You can't just magic up trained ICU staff from nowhere, and you don't want untrained people in an ICU

          3 replies 1 retweet 25 likes
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        4. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Jul 2020

          9/ So on any one day, you'd expect an ICU of, say, 20 beds to have 16-18 patients already - heart attacks, strokes, recent surgeries, accidents etc Add just a few more from COVID-19 and, well...

          6 replies 1 retweet 23 likes
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        5. End of conversation

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