The hospitalization data is not *quite* as bad as it looks because covid-tracking added states over time... and ticking up might have something to do with hospitals having an incentive to report higher rather than lower numbers now to get remdesivir.
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(does not mean anyone is lying... just report one bit of data a bit earlier and another a bit later and you shift from making a governor happy to getting needed meds)
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Its nuts. I feel like I'm watching genocide by neglect, and all we can do here in Canada is
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I'm terrible at eyeballing trends, but it looks deaths follow a 3 to 4 week delay on confirmed case increases, which sounds like a long clinical course of management followed by fatality.
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1-2 weeks for symptoms, 1-2 weeks hospital, 1 week ICU
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But hardly surprising.
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I don’t see projections here. What am I missing
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Yes! I've included a screenshot. I will reply again in 2 months.pic.twitter.com/3gJIarWNO0
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That was a May prediction for 300,000 deaths by the end of July. While 300,000 deaths is possible, it will certainly not happen by the end of July.
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