Skip to content
By using Twitter’s services you agree to our Cookies Use. We and our partners operate globally and use cookies, including for analytics, personalisation, and ads.
  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • About

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

Tweets

Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

Tweets

  • © 2021 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 25 Jul 2020
      Replying to @BallouxFrancois @DiseaseEcology @AdamJKucharski

      The piece explains in more detail, but it's just not an apples-to-apples comparison. If you wanted to make one with the inferred CFR of symptomatic influenza of ~0.1%, you have to a) infer deaths from COVID-19 missed by undercounting and b) exclude asymptomatic COVID-19 cases

      2 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
    2. Prof Francois Balloux‏Verified account @BallouxFrancois 25 Jul 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @DiseaseEcology @AdamJKucharski

      The CDC gives 'symptomatic illnesses' and 'deaths' (not CFRs/IFRs). 2x symptomatics still leads to around ~0.1%s. The influenza IFR in the US is likely to be well below the global one. I did never equate seasonal flu and COVID19 IFRs, and I find this whole discussion irritating

      3 replies 0 retweets 6 likes
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 25 Jul 2020
      Replying to @BallouxFrancois @DiseaseEcology @AdamJKucharski

      Sure, but those are inferred from ICD-10 coding and hospitalizations, which is the other issue that has been pointed out. And I'm not sure that's true, why would the US be orders of magnitude lower than, say, China?

      1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
    4. Prof Francois Balloux‏Verified account @BallouxFrancois 25 Jul 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @DiseaseEcology @AdamJKucharski

      Not orders of magnitude, all subtle, but influenza mortality is worst in places with poor healthcare and no vaccination programmes, e.g. Sub-Saharan Africa.

      1 reply 0 retweets 3 likes
    5. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 25 Jul 2020
      Replying to @BallouxFrancois @DiseaseEcology @AdamJKucharski

      If it's not orders of magnitude, then I'm not sure I see your point. Also, there are now several areas of the US with an IFR WITHOUT inferred mortality (i.e. just using official death counts) for COVID-19 above 1%.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    6. Prof Francois Balloux‏Verified account @BallouxFrancois 25 Jul 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @DiseaseEcology @AdamJKucharski

      The discussion was about IFRs of seasonal flu. I may have misunderstood but my point was that IFRs of seasonal flu did not vary by orders across the world but more subtly so, with among the lowest IFRs being the ones in the US.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    7. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 25 Jul 2020
      Replying to @BallouxFrancois @DiseaseEcology @AdamJKucharski

      I'm not sure that's entirely true, but I was under the impression the discussion was about comparability of influenza CFR and COVID-19 IFR. Honestly, it's all explained much better in the blog

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    8. Prof Francois Balloux‏Verified account @BallouxFrancois 25 Jul 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @DiseaseEcology @AdamJKucharski

      What blog, this is all so confusing ...

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    9. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 25 Jul 2020
      Replying to @BallouxFrancois @DiseaseEcology @AdamJKucharski

      Health Nerd Retweeted A Marm Kilpatrick

      https://twitter.com/DiseaseEcology/status/1287145404480385025?s=19 …

      Health Nerd added,

      A Marm Kilpatrick @DiseaseEcology
      Many replies to his tweet link to tweets by @AdamJKucharski that make it clear why IFR of 0.1% for flu is overestimate. For even more detailed description of flu IFR see @GidMK piece here: https://medium.com/@gidmk/covid-19-is-far-more-lethal-than-influenza-69b6628e69f2 …
      Show this thread
      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    10. Prof Francois Balloux‏Verified account @BallouxFrancois 25 Jul 2020
      Replying to @GidMK @DiseaseEcology @AdamJKucharski

      Prof Francois Balloux Retweeted Prof Francois Balloux

      The Medium piece ... I replied to that.https://twitter.com/BallouxFrancois/status/1287182699992616961 …

      Prof Francois Balloux added,

      Prof Francois BallouxVerified account @BallouxFrancois
      Replying to @DiseaseEcology @AdamJKucharski @GidMK
      This piece states: "go to the CDC’s website, and ... you end up with a rate of 0.1–0.2%." I appreciate this is IFR for symptomatic disease, but I fail to see why my "0.1%" global seasonal flu IFR is so shocking. The IFR in the US is expected to be lower than the global one ...
      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 25 Jul 2020
      Replying to @BallouxFrancois @DiseaseEcology @AdamJKucharski

      But that doesn't really address the piece at all...

      9:02 PM - 25 Jul 2020
      • 2 Likes
      • Amy Dunne Atomsk's Sanakan
      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes

      Loading seems to be taking a while.

      Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

        Promoted Tweet

        false

        • © 2021 Twitter
        • About
        • Help Center
        • Terms
        • Privacy policy
        • Cookies
        • Ads info