Today @normanswan, @will_ock and I released our 100th episode of Coronacast.
It's a privilege helping answer people's questions every day but I'm sure we're all looking forward to the day we don't need this podcast anymore 

https://www.abc.net.au/radio/programs/coronacast/melbournes-2nd-worst-day-are-lockdowns-working/12478710 …
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If it's modelled as well as possible (ie nowcasting taking into account all the various delays), I do think it is the best single number or credibility interval for a summary of the situation.http://freerangestats.info/covid-tracking/index.html …
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It's an interesting number, but even with the best models it's still a very uncertain figure, which imo is the point. Can't obsess over something that has a confidence interval as wide as the daily Reff must
End of conversation
New conversation -
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(The point being that the Reff value for a given day can change if more/less cases are diagnosed the next week. As a daily value, it's a very broad estimate)
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
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