It appears the @EpiEllie was correct in that lead-time bias is probably a large part of the reason that deaths are lagging behind hospitalizations this time around
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Obv agree w/your statement. That would mean we are comparing CFR's, would be an error to compare given differences in testing. If you did, lead time obv becomes an issue. The death rate is more or less a formula that is driven mainly by age. I don't find this to be a bias.
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Yes, agreed. I think we may be talking about different things - there was an argument that the recent increase in cases was somehow less fatal than the previous rise because there were fewer deaths, but this seems to be explained by the lead times
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