The overall probability of a vaccine proceeding from phase 1 to approval was 33.4%pic.twitter.com/vUkLUUlEf1
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The overall probability of a vaccine proceeding from phase 1 to approval was 33.4%pic.twitter.com/vUkLUUlEf1
Timeframe, however, was another thing entirely. The timeframe inferred from the data for their models was 1, 1.5, and 2.5 years for phase 1, 2, and 3 trials COVID-19 vaccine work has all been done in much less than that
True, but vaccines are still the most successful of any intervention trial by a long way. Also, we probably don't see the negative results because no one sends out a press release about them!
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