"Oh yeh, I just listen to Bob down the pub. He's a fuckin' idiot but he sounds like he knows what he's taking about and that's what I care about"
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Experts think or believe they know a lot when they often don’t. The education system and licensing rigs the system in favor of professions. Amateurs often beat licensed professionals in many areas of knowledge and skill.
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Many a grassroots movement was built in defiance to the rule of disabling professions.
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sorry it's long, but it relates - "History shows those most likely to survive a pandemic – physically and economically – are those who deal with the world as it is, not as they would wish it. A good example comes from Rio de Janeiro, reported by Laura Spinney in her brilliant
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book Pale Rider on the 1918 Spanish Flu pandemic. Just as the virus was sweeping into the city, parts of the popular press dismissed the disease as a mere “limpa-velhos” (killer of the old). They said the authorities were exaggerating its danger in a bid to impose
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Let's not dismiss the critique, it is not coming from nowhere (even if the messenger and its goals... Well.) Experts tend to oversell their expertise. Military experts have left countries in quagmires. Economic experts are... (No need to expand on that one)
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What health experts are "lucky" with, is that this epidemic is a "big one", a once-a-century event. But anything lesser than that, and they would have burned all credibility. Remember it *almost* happened with H1N1 (and impeded the response to covid-19).
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Neil Ferguson has destroyed the confidence in experts for the next decade
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