has anyone seen an Reff calculated for Victoria recently?
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Issue here is that the 'new' cases identified during the testing blitz may not have been new on that day, and Reff is very dependent on when the cases were identified as opposed to actually contracted the disease
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Oh, also, Reff calculation is ~very~ sensitive to serial interval, so assuming a lower SI reduces the Reff a lot. True Reff could easily be <2 in Vic right now
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aha thank you!
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It even spits out a lovely graph! Median estimated R is the one I gave, appears to be hovering around 2.5-2.9 in Vic atmpic.twitter.com/bZDNbAsSmA
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