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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Dr Paul Mackey‏ @auscandoc 11 Jul 2020
      Replying to @howrealislife @GidMK and

      Stated:“Most believe .5-1.” You challenged: “Beliefs and 5-1 numbers without sources aren't scientific either.” Supporting source was provided. As repeatedly stated: if you have different numbers and different source then we would appreciate you sharing then science advances

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    2. Seamus Tremblay‏ @howrealislife 11 Jul 2020
      Replying to @auscandoc @GidMK and

      He provided zero sources. My post was accurate, you came along, & assumed his info was sourced as it falls in line with your belief that is backed up by your source. You provided the source, he did not. He provided a number that I assumed without a source was out of left field.

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    3. Dr Paul Mackey‏ @auscandoc 11 Jul 2020
      Replying to @howrealislife @GidMK and

      He provided a number consistent with the data. My hypothesis is he therefore has a high probability of having based his statement on science. I provided support for my hypothesis. Your hypothesis is that he has not based it on the science. Provide the data otherwise = opinion

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    4. Seamus Tremblay‏ @howrealislife 11 Jul 2020
      Replying to @auscandoc @GidMK and

      Using your own logic his numbers were an opinion before you attempted to save the day. I'm still hoping for info that is more current than May & doesn't supposedly have the same "typos" through the article.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. Dr Paul Mackey‏ @auscandoc 11 Jul 2020
      Replying to @howrealislife @GidMK and

      That’s your unsupported hypothesis. As his numbers aligned with the data there is good probability he was aware of this data but simply didn’t share it with you. We are all hoping for more current information. Until then what I have is an IFR, based on this MA, of 0.53-0.82.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    6. Seamus Tremblay‏ @howrealislife 11 Jul 2020
      Replying to @auscandoc @GidMK and

      Here's a phrase you should utilize next time someone posts info without a source (even if you agree): "Please provide a source as I'd love to see where your information comes from." I truly hope you're paid. Although not too much as they aren't getting their monies worth.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    7. Dr Paul Mackey‏ @auscandoc 11 Jul 2020
      Replying to @howrealislife @GidMK and

      Often do. And I did. Didn’t have to for this one as I had a source that aligned with the information. If different information is provided that doesn’t fit with what I have...then I ask. I value people’s time.

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    8. Seamus Tremblay‏ @howrealislife 11 Jul 2020
      Replying to @auscandoc @GidMK and

      Always good to ask regardless so you can add more sources that are actually peer reviewed & might not be as old as your own. I always assume non sourced information isn't valid. After all that is the scientific thing to do "doctor."

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    9. Dr Paul Mackey‏ @auscandoc 11 Jul 2020
      Replying to @howrealislife @GidMK and

      And when the evidence is provided you adjust according to that evidence.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    10. Seamus Tremblay‏ @howrealislife 11 Jul 2020
      Replying to @auscandoc @GidMK and

      Yes we agree, when accurate peer reviewed up to date information is provided you adjust.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 11 Jul 2020
      Replying to @howrealislife @auscandoc and

      What specific problems are there with the meta analysis? Always interested to improve the study (it's been updated 5 times so far, hence the annoying date typos)

      8:03 PM - 11 Jul 2020
      • 1 Like
      • Dr Paul Mackey
      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        1. New conversation
        2. Dr Paul Mackey‏ @auscandoc 11 Jul 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @howrealislife and

          Dr Paul Mackey Retweeted Carl T. Bergstrom

          https://twitter.com/ct_bergstrom/status/1282076519687315456?s=21 …https://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1282076519687315456 …

          Dr Paul Mackey added,

          Carl T. BergstromVerified account @CT_Bergstrom
          The CDC has updated their IFR estimates to a range of 0.5-0.8%, with a best guess of 0.65%. These seem reasonable to me, they reflect current consensus thinking, and I'm pleased to see this. h/t @geoffmprice https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/hcp/planning-scenarios.html#table-1 …
          Show this thread
          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
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