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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 9 Jul 2020

    Health Nerd Retweeted The Age

    The basic idea - a rare event will, given enough opportunities, happen That it happened first in Victoria is just bad luck. It could easily be NSW or QLD nexthttps://twitter.com/theage/status/1281347558821048322 …

    Health Nerd added,

    The AgeVerified account @theage
    I have been criticised before for bringing "luck" into the COVID-19 discussion. So let me explain why "luck" or "chance" matters to an epidemiologist. | OPINION by Deakin epidemiologist Catherine Bennett. http://ow.ly/gTxR50AupNs 
    3:44 PM - 9 Jul 2020
    • 2 Retweets
    • 15 Likes
    • Andrei Kucharavy Dr Paul Mackey Lucy Carroll cyril 💧 Ian "Department of Diseasology" 🍩 Musgrave JB illz M Margarida Pinheiro The Picnicing Discocat Denise Beale
    3 replies 2 retweets 15 likes
      1. BC Think Tank  🤔: Democide Surveillance Chapter‏ @COVIDUpdate2020 9 Jul 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        Sure, luck is a factor. But I fail to see how hiring a private company with poor training practices to oversee mandatory hotel quarantine during a pandemic is luck. Particularly when it goes against standard practice. Looks *remarkably* like incompetence.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      2. Liam‏ @thinkinreverse 9 Jul 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        There is luck - Victoria were unlucky to get hit with their May spike. But there are also missteps - Victoria weren't smart to push for the July 1 easing in line with other states when they were in a different situation.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Liam‏ @thinkinreverse 9 Jul 2020
        Replying to @thinkinreverse @GidMK

        Of course there was massive political pressure to reopen - from the Federal Gov, the Opposition, the media, the AFL - so plenty of responsibility to share. That's not all 'luck' though.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. raging_steel‏ @raging_steel 10 Jul 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        Chance is a factor, but having that as a headline seems risky when policy and personal actions influence outcomes. Article talks about the chance factors of SSEs, but surely it's less about chance and more about clear cut factors: was the individual distancing, wearing a mask...

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. raging_steel‏ @raging_steel 10 Jul 2020
        Replying to @raging_steel @GidMK

        ...were there policies helping reduce transmission to onward contacts, efficient TTI to pick it up quickly etc. Agree it's no good stigmatising, and the focus should be on lessons. But leading on 'Chance' plays to those who don't buy in to public health measures. Feels risky!

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation

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