9/ Now, on to problem 2 One thing we are VERY sure of is that actually getting COVID-19 is likely to be causally related to mental health issues
Because it's a concern. My point is not that it's totally implausible, it's that the comparison is disingenuous. I wrote a whole thread, you can read that 
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I guess at some point we can compare the mental health outcomes of those in strict lockdown cities/countries v those who weren't...
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