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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 2 Jul 2020

    I'm so very tired of COVID-19 modelling papers that present direct calculations from their assumptions as the "findings" of their model YOU JUST ASSUMED THAT. UGH

    12:29 AM - 2 Jul 2020
    • 1 Retweet
    • 43 Likes
    • jon r Alex Edwards Dr Aleksandra Pastuszak 🏳️‍🌈✊⚡🌂📈 Andrei Kucharavy Julia L Bach Terry Griffin 💧 Ian "Department of Diseasology" 🍩 Musgrave Raluca Mihalache-Lehto feeder of cats ''' neurodiverse they/them
    4 replies 1 retweet 43 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 2 Jul 2020

        In a totally unrelated point, this new preprint assumes that 90%+ of patients are asymptomatic and then presents the argument that 46% of New York has been infected by COVID-19 which is directly implied by that assumptionhttps://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.05.23.20111419v2 …

        3 replies 0 retweets 5 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 2 Jul 2020

        No fancy model needed. If only 2% of cases are symptomatic, and thus diagnosed, then with ~200k identified cases in NY state you get 10mil infections

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
        Show this thread
      4. End of conversation
      1. David Penington  💉 💉AZ #NotABotOrTrot‏ @DavidPenington2 2 Jul 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        This is very common in "modeling" and economics

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Dr Paul Mackey‏ @auscandoc 2 Jul 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        You know I’m not sure I understood any of that 🤔. Maybe because the bulk of my modelling has always been 🚂 😉

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. New conversation
      2. Dr Paul Mackey‏ @auscandoc 2 Jul 2020
        Replying to @GidMK

        “A large asymptomatic population will make isolation, containment, and tracing of individual cases challenging”. Vietnam managed to aggressively trace and contain by acting early to control numbers. If JI would just stop blaming the virus and blame the incompetent humans....

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Ono no Komachi‏ @OnoNoKomachi1 2 Jul 2020
        Replying to @auscandoc @GidMK

        This is what gets me. The claim test and trace won’t work because of the biology of the virus. Tell that to the South Koreans. It may no be practical in the US for other reasons.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. Show replies

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