Given that ~75% of London COVID-19 deaths occur in hospitals, that means ~7,500 deaths and ~1.5mil cases, so an IFR of ~0.5% for London
Nope. In general the % positive from serology has gone up over time, this is the first time I've seen it go down
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Political polls report their confidence intervals; and here we have two press releases about a serological study of a pandemic everyone is arguing about, and there is not a single CI to be found...
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How do sero studies handle people who lose their anti-bodies and will show up as not having been infected? Or do we have a test for t-cells to detect this? Could this partially be why IN had their numbers go down and Spain stay flat? How does this affect IFR calculations?
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