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GidMK's profile
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Health Nerd
Verified account
@GidMK

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Health NerdVerified account

@GidMK

Epidemiologist. Writer (Guardian, Observer etc). "Well known research trouble-maker". PhDing at @UoW Host of @senscipod Email gidmk.healthnerd@gmail.com he/him

Sydney, New South Wales
theguardian.com/profile/gideon…
Joined November 2015

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    1. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Jun 2020

      Health Nerd Retweeted Ezra Klein

      Imperial College modelling team, May 20th 2020: "We predict that increased mobility following relaxation of social distancing will lead to resurgence of transmission... ...deaths over the next two-month period could exceed current cumulative deaths by greater than two-fold"https://twitter.com/ezraklein/status/1277641430962323456 …

      Health Nerd added,

      Ezra KleinVerified account @ezraklein
      This is a governance failure, not an inevitability of the disease. pic.twitter.com/A083PtNvD3
      Show this thread
      4 replies 5 retweets 28 likes
    2. The Picnicing Discocat‏ @discoball2000 29 Jun 2020
      Replying to @GidMK

      Interesting how the media fixates on the red line and not the blue one.pic.twitter.com/CEYHi5EVjg

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Jun 2020
      Replying to @discoball2000

      Because that's a terrible graph? Worldwide deaths have been going up worryingly fast, that graph just minimizes the number by including both lines on the same axis

      1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
    4. The Picnicing Discocat‏ @discoball2000 29 Jun 2020
      Replying to @GidMK

      why? the blue line has barely changed despite the skyrocketing cases.

      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
    5. The Picnicing Discocat‏ @discoball2000 29 Jun 2020
      Replying to @discoball2000 @GidMK

      How are deaths going up “worryingly” fast? looks plateaued to me?pic.twitter.com/Pi0RC4n7x8

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
    6. ChristofferFlensburg‏ @CFlensburg 29 Jun 2020
      Replying to @discoball2000 @GidMK

      Number of deaths are probably more reliable than number of cases, but they lag behind 2-3 weeks or so (typical time from diagnosis to death). You can see this in almost any country's curves. So this is an early warning that number of deaths are likely to take off as well soon.

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    7. The Picnicing Discocat‏ @discoball2000 29 Jun 2020
      Replying to @CFlensburg @GidMK

      And if they don’t? Daily deaths in the UK have been in decline for weeks despite looser restrictions?

      2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
    8. ChristofferFlensburg‏ @CFlensburg 29 Jun 2020
      Replying to @discoball2000 @GidMK

      It'd be great if death counts stay low ofc. I don't know of many cases where a strong growth in cases hasn't been followed by an increase in deaths a few weeks later though.

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Jun 2020
      Replying to @CFlensburg

      Singapore is the only one I know of, and that's due to the demographics of their outbreak

      9:34 PM - 29 Jun 2020
      • 1 Like
      • The Picnicing Discocat
      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        1. New conversation
        2. The Picnicing Discocat‏ @discoball2000 29 Jun 2020
          Replying to @GidMK @CFlensburg

          and Japan? Again due to demo? Healthier and thinner population.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Health Nerd‏Verified account @GidMK 29 Jun 2020
          Replying to @discoball2000 @CFlensburg

          Not really, still a CFR of nearly 5% in Japan (although they aren't doing much testing)

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        4. Show replies

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